Raila’s steady political downfall is a tragic reminder of how politics of violence and corruption can destroy a man. It all started with his brutal defeat in the 2013 general elections where Raila Odinga not only was soundly defeated as presidential candidate but his party also lost the house majority, in the most revolutionary takeover of a tyrannical leftist poser. The most pitiful moments of Raila Odinga’s loss came shortly after the 2013 elections when in his hysteria, he ran to Kisumu city seeking to rally his tribesmen to the call of ‘No Raila, No Peace’ only for him to find them desolate, apathetic to his plight and resigned to their own, newly elected county government.
For a man raised by a so called liberal democrat as Jaramogi Oginga Odinga, Raila has simply found the democratic ideal of accepting the will of the people unpalatable. He rejects democracy, virulently and violently. Raila cannot stomach the idea that he may not win an election, and as the wikileaks reports indicate when he lost the 2007 election his entire political party lost direction as well, and the truth of their baseless run for political power is exposed.
From the onset, in 2006, the US was keenly aware of the violent and undemocratic tendencies of Raila Odinga and his ODM outfit. The US was fully aware of the problems that would follow the 2007 elections given the ODM strategy of using chaos and public unrest and fanning violence to escalate a grab for power. Despite this, the US was fully backing Raila Odinga’s candidacy and his violent agenda. The US decision to support this violent and undemocratic man will forever stain the history of Kenya.
A cursory search online will reveal what was headline news in 2011, prior to the 2013 elections. According to the Capital FM website, Former US Ambassador to Kenya, Michael Ranneberger had no kind words for Prime Minister Raila Odinga in the June 2009 cable in which he says, “the Prime Minister ‘is unable or unwilling to move forward the reform agenda.’ He also says that Mr. Odinga\’s Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) seems both directionless and less united than before. ‘Odinga is increasingly perceived as feckless, unable or unwilling to govern effectively and move forward the reform agenda. There is growing disillusionment within his camp (as conveyed by key interlocutors of Odinga\’s Orange Democratic Movement, ODM, party to the ambassador,’ the cable reveals.”
Raila never had any intention to bring about reforms, in fact quite the opposite; once he was Prime Minister his own family was involved in the maize scandal in 2011. At the time, Raila Odinga was pushing for Sam Ongeri and William Ruto the then Agriculture Minister to be “suspended”, and according to US cables by Ambassador Ranneberger this was an attempt to hide the fact that his own family was involved.
In January 2009, the maize scandal came to light, and linked the ODM half of the coalition government to the scandal. Ranneberger wrote in his cables, “We have credible reports that members of Odinga’s family, presumably with his knowledge and/or his involvement, were involved in the maize scandal. Thus, at the time he made his dramatic February 14th Statements, Odinga was facing serious pressures on both the corruption and the constitutional review issues.”
At the time as well, Minister Ongeri’s ministry was being probed over the disappearance of millions of shillings meant for free primary education programme. Of this, Ranneberger said, “It seems highly possible that Odinga made the announcement regarding Ongeri and Ruto knowing that it would cause huge political and constitutional flap and thus divert focus on both the corruption and constitutional review issues. Alternatively, Odinga may have miscalculated that he could ‘roll’ Kibaki to go along with his actions because Kibaki would not want to be seen as supporting corrupt ministers.”
Just like majority of Kenyans who unwittingly voted for Raila and gave him their support, the US quickly discovered just how corrupt and unreliable Raila Odinga was. Ranneberger repeatedly expressed exasperation at the fact that not only is Odinga’s family caught up in corruption, but his advisors and members of his political team would also be deeply embroiled in it as well. To cover this up Raila would routinely back track on agreements made within his mandate, and would leave Ranneberger with no answers. In time, Raila Odinga grew acrimonious towards his own benefactor, and silently joined the push to have Ranneberger removed from office and replaced with someone else.
This is Raila Odinga’s standard tactic. He makes promises he can’t possibly keep, even writes agreements and does whatever he can to get you to support his agenda of gaining personal power, but soon enough, once in power he will set about doing whatever he pleases and that will include backtracking on agreements, subterfuge, corrupt deals and of course openly betraying his supporters, even if the supporter is a foreign envoy representing the US.
In the end, by the time the 2013 elections rolled around, even though Raila still managed to convince CORD principles to support him, everyone was by now fully aware of his lying conduct and ultimate betrayals. The moment he lost the election, despite the few gestures to try and get the presidential results petitioned, the entire structure of support that he had buoyed himself on collapsed. Raila must has guessed things were elephant when he saw Senators Amos Wako, James Orengo, Peter Anyang Nyong’o, and Moses Wetangula all of whom were still in political leadership, sharing a joke and laughing heartily in the Supreme Court while his presidential petition was being thrown out. This is when Raila went on his hysterical rallies in Kisumu, ranting like a madman about a “stolen” election, even though CORD itself had gained 25 out of 47 governors. It was pitiful.
Since 2013, in each and every poll conducted by research companies, Raila Odinga has consistently scored less than 40%. In the latest polls, he scored a deplorable 28% popularity rating verses Uhuru Kenyatta’s 51%. There is no doubt Raila Odinga will lose the 2017 elections and by a landslide. Everyone he has betrayed will be waiting like vultures, eager to cash in on his potential defeat, another sign of why his streak as an undemocratic leader will have dire consequences for him and his political party.